Boughton trails all Republicans in latest gubernatorial poll

For the first time, the last honest man in Danbury was mentioned in a gubernatorial poll.

On Monday, DailyKos conducted a poll (via Research 2000) that shows Mark Boughton coming in last among the current crop of Republican gubernatorial candidates in head to head match ups against Democrats Susan Bysiewicz, Ned Lamont, and Dan Malloy.

Daily Kos/Research 2000 Connecticut Poll

Research 2000, MoE 4%, Jan 11, 2010 - Jan 13, 2010

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Susan Bysiewicz, the Democrat, and Michael Fedele, the Republican?

	SUSAN BYSIEWICZ	MICHAEL FEDELE	UNDECIDED
ALL	52	33	15
MEN	49	38	13
WOMEN	55	28	17
DEMOCRATS	85	8	7
REPUBLICANS	9	79	12
INDEPENDENTS	44	32	24
18-29	57	26	17
30-44	56	32	12
45-59	48	36	16
60+	46	37	17
DISTRICT 1	58	26	16
DISTRICT 2	46	41	13
DISTRICT 3	57	29	14
DISTRICT 4	54	30	16
DISTRICT 5	45	38	17

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Susan Bysiewicz, the Democrat, and Tom Foley, the Republican?

	SUSAN BYSIEWICZ	TOM FOLEY	UNDECIDED
ALL	51	35	14
MEN	47	40	13
WOMEN	55	30	15
DEMOCRATS	84	9	7
REPUBLICANS	8	82	10
INDEPENDENTS	43	34	23
18-29	56	27	17
30-44	55	34	11
45-59	47	38	15
60+	45	40	15
DISTRICT 1	57	27	16
DISTRICT 2	45	44	11
DISTRICT 3	56	31	13
DISTRICT 4	53	31	16
DISTRICT 5	44	41	15

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Susan Bysiewicz, the Democrat, and Mark Boughton, the Republican?

	SUSAN BYSIEWICZ	MARK BOUGHTON	UNDECIDED
ALL	52	32	16
MEN	48	37	15
WOMEN	56	27	17
DEMOCRATS	85	8	7
REPUBLICANS	9	77	14
INDEPENDENTS	44	31	25
18-29	58	25	17
30-44	56	31	13
45-59	48	35	17
60+	45	36	19
DISTRICT 1	59	23	18
DISTRICT 2	46	42	12
DISTRICT 3	57	28	15
DISTRICT 4	54	28	18
DISTRICT 5	44	38	18

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Ned Lamont, the Democrat, and Michael Fedele, the Republican?

	NED LAMONT	MICHAEL FEDELE	UNDECIDED
ALL	46	36	18
MEN	43	40	17
WOMEN	49	32	19
DEMOCRATS	81	9	10
REPUBLICANS	5	82	13
INDEPENDENTS	35	38	27
18-29	52	28	20
30-44	50	34	16
45-59	42	39	19
60+	40	41	19
DISTRICT 1	52	27	21
DISTRICT 2	40	44	16
DISTRICT 3	51	32	17
DISTRICT 4	48	33	19
DISTRICT 5	39	45	16

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Ned Lamont, the Democrat, and Tom Foley, the Republican?

	NED LAMONT	TOM FOLEY	UNDECIDED
ALL	46	37	17
MEN	42	42	16
WOMEN	50	32	18
DEMOCRATS	81	9	10
REPUBLICANS	5	83	12
INDEPENDENTS	35	40	25
18-29	53	28	19
30-44	50	35	15
45-59	42	40	18
60+	39	43	18
DISTRICT 1	53	27	20
DISTRICT 2	40	46	14
DISTRICT 3	50	33	17
DISTRICT 4	48	33	19
DISTRICT 5	39	47	14

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Ned Lamont, the Democrat, and Mark Boughton, the Republican?

	NED LAMONT	MARK BOUGHTON	UNDECIDED
ALL	46	34	20
MEN	43	39	18
WOMEN	49	29	22
DEMOCRATS	81	8	11
REPUBLICANS	5	78	17
INDEPENDENTS	35	36	29
18-29	53	26	21
30-44	50	32	18
45-59	42	37	21
60+	39	39	22
DISTRICT 1	52	23	25
DISTRICT 2	40	42	18
DISTRICT 3	51	29	20
DISTRICT 4	48	30	22
DISTRICT 5	39	45	16

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Dan Malloy, the Democrat, and Michael Fedele, the Republican?

	DAN MALLOY	MICHAEL FEDELE	UNDECIDED
ALL	44	35	21
MEN	41	39	20
WOMEN	47	31	22
DEMOCRATS	77	8	15
REPUBLICANS	5	81	14
INDEPENDENTS	34	36	30
18-29	51	27	22
30-44	48	33	19
45-59	39	38	23
60+	39	40	21
DISTRICT 1	51	24	25
DISTRICT 2	37	44	19
DISTRICT 3	49	30	21
DISTRICT 4	47	31	22
DISTRICT 5	36	46	18

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Dan Malloy, the Democrat, and Tom Foley, the Republican?

	DAN MALLOY	TOM FOLEY	UNDECIDED
ALL	43	37	20
MEN	40	42	18
WOMEN	46	32	22
DEMOCRATS	75	9	16
REPUBLICANS	5	83	12
INDEPENDENTS	33	40	27
18-29	51	28	21
30-44	47	35	18
45-59	38	40	22
60+	37	43	20
DISTRICT 1	51	24	25
DISTRICT 2	35	47	18
DISTRICT 3	48	32	20
DISTRICT 4	46	33	21
DISTRICT 5	34	49	17

QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Dan Malloy, the Democrat, and Mark Boughton, the Republican?

	DAN MALLOY	MARK BOUGHTON	UNDECIDED
ALL	44	34	22
MEN	41	38	21
WOMEN	47	30	23
DEMOCRATS	77	8	15
REPUBLICANS	5	79	16
INDEPENDENTS	34	35	31
18-29	52	26	22
30-44	48	32	20
45-59	39	37	24
60+	38	39	23
DISTRICT 1	51	22	27
DISTRICT 2	37	44	19
DISTRICT 3	49	29	22
DISTRICT 4	47	30	23
DISTRICT 5	36	45	19

Demographics

MEN	282	48%
WOMEN	318	52%
DEMOCRATS	229	30%
REPUBLICANS	127	38%
INDEPENDENTS/OTHER	244	32%
18-29	96	17%
30-44	198	33%
45-59	205	35%
60+	101	15%
DISTRICT 1	119	19%
DISTRICT 2	121	20%
DISTRICT 3	120	20%
DISTRICT 4	121	20%
DISTRICT 5	119	19%

Methodology

CONNECTICUT POLL RESULTS – JANUARY 2010



The Research 2000 Connecticut Poll was conducted from January 11 through January 13, 2010. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.



Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.



The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.